Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.594072 0.766438 0.961294 1.195196 1.465666 1.766036 2.122236
2025-09-07 0.378827 0.598572 0.879414 1.252217 1.721828 2.282168 2.989451
2025-09-14 0.240334 0.471448 0.805363 1.291008 1.948330 2.778252 3.875793
2025-09-21 0.148231 0.369581 0.732553 1.307798 2.137041 3.234415 4.740642
2025-09-28 0.083661 0.278502 0.646161 1.281552 2.253693 3.595850 5.498665
2025-10-05 0.049919 0.224888 0.602284 1.305463 2.435052 4.047392 6.390430
2025-10-12 0.027727 0.179342 0.556893 1.314404 2.587886 4.461000 7.242810
2025-10-19 0.012269 0.132855 0.491469 1.273365 2.653014 4.745919 7.922829
2025-10-26 0.004624 0.098868 0.438676 1.242486 2.725945 5.039583 8.619638
2025-11-02 0.001618 0.078440 0.410265 1.251844 2.862846 5.431142 9.464990
2025-11-09 0.000218 0.055859 0.362635 1.210594 2.905127 5.675274 10.099809
2025-11-16 0.000027 0.048182 0.359026 1.263892 3.117577 6.191119 11.146284
2025-11-23 NaN 0.036583 0.334356 1.266369 3.240714 6.576288 12.019999
2025-11-30 NaN 0.033126 0.341512 1.346665 3.514890 7.214734 13.291897
2025-12-07 NaN 0.028014 0.337556 1.398342 3.737139 7.775707 14.459821
2025-12-14 NaN 0.022024 0.323694 1.421658 3.904875 8.251641 15.508271
2025-12-21 NaN 0.014969 0.294234 1.396636 3.973782 8.564029 16.311108
2025-12-28 NaN 0.011556 0.284097 1.423430 4.147653 9.056634 17.401704
2026-01-04 NaN 0.008339 0.269455 1.433644 4.286614 9.492259 18.410034
2026-01-11 NaN 0.004741 0.239767 1.390417 4.308989 9.726636 19.105315
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002551 0.215527 1.357777 4.349901 9.992274 19.853173
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001568 0.204645 1.367816 4.484038 10.424342 20.873214
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000597 0.180661 1.323998 4.493473 10.633650 21.537824